Analysis trial ↗

Prediction transparency

Top-pick predictions compared with official winners in completed, actual races.

Measurement scope: the first win selection only

Loading the indicator…

How this indicator is calculated

A hit means the highest pre-race win-probability selection was the official winner. Ties require a fixed first selection archived before the off.

Each race is counted once. Trials and hypothetical comparisons are excluded. Selecting three horses by win probability does not establish their finishing order.

Race count alone does not establish calibration or probability accuracy. This indicator does not automatically change model weights.